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Seattle Storm W vs Las Vegas Aces W

Sep 18, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

FinalSeattle Storm W 77 - 114 Las Vegas Aces W

Team Strength Comparison

Seattle Storm WvsLas Vegas Aces W· WNBA

OverallOffenseDefenseDominanceConsistencyPedigree
Seattle Storm WLas Vegas Aces W

Match Analysis

Las Vegas dominates the ratings across almost every dimension. The Aces lead in overall power by 43 points, offense by 20, dominance by 35, consistency by 58, pedigree by 72, and drama by 39. Seattle's only edge is a marginal 3-point advantage in defense. The market agrees completely: it's pricing Las Vegas at 76 per cent and Seattle at 24 per cent. The head-to-head record reinforces the ratings gap. Over ten meetings, Las Vegas has won 7 to Seattle's 3. More tellingly, in their last five encounters, the Aces have taken 4 wins against 1 for the Storm. Seattle's recent overall form reads as 1 win and 4 losses from 5 matches, and away from home the picture is bleaker still: 0 wins from 5. Las Vegas, by contrast, has won 3 of its last 5 across the season. I notice that Seattle's only real vulnerability for Las Vegas is that marginal defensive gap—though a 3-point difference hardly amounts to a weakness. I'd say the Storm's roster lacks the pedigree and consistency to threaten a team that leads by 72 and 58 points in those respective categories. The ratings and the market are aligned here, and the recent record between these two sides has been consistently one-way traffic in the Aces' favour. Seattle's road form—winless from 5 matches—is particularly ominous when facing an opponent this strong.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.

Metric by metric

Seattle Storm W · Las Vegas Aces W — our 0-100 ratings, side by side

56Overall100
79Offense100
48Defense47
63Dominance100
21Consistency87
28Pedigree100
61Entertainment100
Seattle Storm W · Momentum ↗ rising 1Las Vegas Aces W · Momentum ↗ rising 1

Season trends

up to 6 seasons, both teams

Season rating
1-100 overall rating per season
10067330202120222023202420252026
Point differential
average per-game margin
126-0-6202120222023202420252026
Points per game
Scored
93888379202120222023202420252026
SRS
schedule-adjusted scoring margin
11.35.7-0.0-5.7202120222023202420252026

Archived Sep 18, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC

Odds Analysis & Market Prediction

With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Las Vegas Aces W the favourite at 81%. 10 of 10 bookmakers agree.

Fair win probability

Seattle Storm W
19%
Las Vegas Aces W
81%

Average bookmaker margin 4.6%.

Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Seattle Storm W vs Las Vegas Aces W

BookHomeAway
FanDuel4.901.18
DraftKings5.001.19
BetRivers4.801.18
Fanatics5.001.18
Bovada5.001.17
BetMGM5.001.18
LowVig.ag4.901.20
BetOnline.ag4.901.20
Caesars4.901.19
BetUS5.001.19

Moneyline captured before tip-off — historical reference only. 21+

Head-to-Head Record

— · 20262026-06-09Las Vegas Aces W 101-91 Seattle Storm WL
— · 20252025-09-19Las Vegas Aces W 74-73 Seattle Storm WL
— · 20252025-09-17Seattle Storm W 86-83 Las Vegas Aces WW
— · 20252025-09-15Las Vegas Aces W 102-77 Seattle Storm WL
— · 20252025-08-09Las Vegas Aces W 90-86 Seattle Storm WL
— · 20252025-06-21Las Vegas Aces W 83-90 Seattle Storm WW
— · 20252025-06-01Seattle Storm W 70-75 Las Vegas Aces WL
— · 20252025-05-25Seattle Storm W 102-82 Las Vegas Aces WW
— · 20242024-09-25Las Vegas Aces W 83-76 Seattle Storm WL
— · 20242024-09-23Las Vegas Aces W 78-67 Seattle Storm WL

Seattle Storm W — Recent Form — Last Games

LWLLLWLLLL
  • 2026-08-30Seattle Storm W vs Los Angeles Sparks W 74-90
  • 2026-08-27Seattle Storm W vs Toronto Tempo W 90-78
  • 2026-08-23Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W 92-70
  • 2026-08-16Seattle Storm W vs Chicago Sky W 80-82
  • 2026-08-15Seattle Storm W vs Portland Fire W 82-84
  • 2026-08-11Seattle Storm W vs Chicago Sky W 97-88
  • 2026-08-09Portland Fire W vs Seattle Storm W 100-93
  • 2026-08-05New York Liberty W vs Seattle Storm W 92-86
  • 2026-08-03New York Liberty W vs Seattle Storm W 95-83
  • 2026-07-31Atlanta Dream W vs Seattle Storm W 98-89

Las Vegas Aces W — Recent Form — Last Games

WWWLLWWLLW
  • 2026-08-29Las Vegas Aces W vs Toronto Tempo W 93-73
  • 2026-08-23Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W 78-88
  • 2026-08-21Las Vegas Aces W vs Connecticut Sun W 101-78
  • 2026-08-19Las Vegas Aces W vs Atlanta Dream W 82-97
  • 2026-08-16Las Vegas Aces W vs Minnesota Lynx W 87-92
  • 2026-08-14Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W 83-76
  • 2026-08-12Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W 86-76
  • 2026-08-09New York Liberty W vs Las Vegas Aces W 111-71
  • 2026-08-08Minnesota Lynx W vs Las Vegas Aces W 98-87
  • 2026-08-06Indiana Fever W vs Las Vegas Aces W 84-86