New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Match Analysis

Dallas leads this matchup across almost every dimension, and the market and ratings agree on that. The Cowboys' overall power rating of 62 dwarfs the Giants' 9, a gap of 53 points. Their offensive rating—92 to 11—is the starker contrast still, a difference of 81 points; Dallas also edges the defense, 32 to 22. In dominance, the Cowboys sit at 68 against the Giants' 9. The one exception is consistency, where the Giants lead 76 to 49, a 27-point advantage. Both the market's implied probability of 59 per cent for Dallas and its 41 per cent for the Giants align with the ratings' heavy favouring of the Cowboys. I notice the Giants' consistency rating sits well above their overall power, which flags a team playing within itself but without much quality to show for it. The head-to-head record reinforces Dallas's superiority: from 20 meetings, the Cowboys have won 16 and the Giants 4. Over their last five matchups, Dallas leads 4 wins to 1. Recent form muddies the picture slightly. Dallas has won just 1 of its last 5 matches, while the Giants have taken 2 of 5—the most recent a 34-17 win over these Cowboys in week 18. I'd say that latest result is the Giants' only real encouragement here, though it sits awkwardly against the 81-point offensive gap and the long history of defeats. The Cowboys' home record these past four matches stands at 2 wins and 2 losses; the Giants are 1-3 at home over four.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.