Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons
Sep 13, 2026, 5:05 PM UTC
FTPittsburgh Steelers 20 - 13 Atlanta Falcons
Team Strength Comparison
Match Analysis
Pittsburgh leads across nearly every dimension except for a marginal advantage by Atlanta in offense (43 to 42) and slightly superior consistency (89 to 100). The Steelers' defensive rating of 80 dwarfs Atlanta's 24, and they dominate in overall power (63 versus 27), dominance (65 to 35), and pedigree (41 to 2). Pittsburgh's consistency rating of 100 is exceptional. The head-to-head record overwhelmingly favours the Steelers, who have won all seven meetings, including a shutout in 2023 and a Week 1 victory this season. Recent form presents a minor complication: Atlanta has won three of their last five games while Pittsburgh has split their last five with two losses, suggesting some volatility in Pittsburgh's play. However, this modest dip in form does not materially challenge the structural gap in ratings or the historical dominance. The market's implied probabilities are not provided here, but the ratings consensus strongly indicates Pittsburgh as the superior team on the field.
A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.
Metric by metric
Pittsburgh Steelers · Atlanta Falcons — our 0-100 ratings, side by side
Season trends
up to 16 seasons, both teams
Archived Sep 13, 2026, 05:00 PM UTC
Odds Analysis & Market Prediction
With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at 72%. 11 of 11 bookmakers agree.
Fair win probability
Average bookmaker margin 4.3%.
Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons
| Book | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.34 | 3.40 |
| Fanatics | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| BetRivers | 1.34 | 3.35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31 | 3.60 |
| FanDuel | 1.33 | 3.45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31 | 3.60 |
| BetUS | 1.34 | 3.40 |
| Caesars | 1.32 | 3.45 |
| BetMGM | 1.33 | 3.50 |
| Bovada | 1.34 | 3.40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34 | 3.30 |
Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 18+
Head-to-Head Record
| Week 1 · 2024 | 2024-09-08 | Atlanta Falcons 10-18 Pittsburgh Steelers | W |
| Week 13 · 2022 | 2022-12-04 | Atlanta Falcons 16-19 Pittsburgh Steelers | W |
| — · 2018 | 2018-10-07 | Pittsburgh Steelers 41-17 Atlanta Falcons | W |
| — · 2017 | 2017-08-20 | Pittsburgh Steelers 17-13 Atlanta Falcons | W |
| — · 2014 | 2014-12-14 | Atlanta Falcons 20-27 Pittsburgh Steelers | W |
| — · 2011 | 2011-08-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34-16 Atlanta Falcons | W |
Pittsburgh Steelers — Recent Form — Last Games
- 2026-01-13Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans 6-30
- 2026-01-05Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens 26-24
- 2025-12-28Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers 13-6
- 2025-12-21Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers 24-29
- 2025-12-16Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins 28-15
- 2025-12-07Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 22-27
- 2025-11-30Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills 7-26
- 2025-11-23Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers 31-28
Atlanta Falcons — Recent Form — Last Games
- 2026-01-04Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 19-17
- 2025-12-30Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams 27-24
- 2025-12-21Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons 19-26
- 2025-12-12Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons 28-29
- 2025-12-07Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks 9-37
- 2025-11-30New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons 27-24
- 2025-11-23New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 10-24
- 2025-11-16Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers 27-30