← All NFL Matchups

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons

Sep 13, 2026, 5:05 PM UTC

FTPittsburgh Steelers 20 - 13 Atlanta Falcons

Team Strength Comparison

Pittsburgh SteelersvsAtlanta Falcons

OverallOffenseDefenseDominanceConsistencyPedigree
Pittsburgh SteelersAtlanta Falcons

Match Analysis

Pittsburgh leads across nearly every dimension except for a marginal advantage by Atlanta in offense (43 to 42) and slightly superior consistency (89 to 100). The Steelers' defensive rating of 80 dwarfs Atlanta's 24, and they dominate in overall power (63 versus 27), dominance (65 to 35), and pedigree (41 to 2). Pittsburgh's consistency rating of 100 is exceptional. The head-to-head record overwhelmingly favours the Steelers, who have won all seven meetings, including a shutout in 2023 and a Week 1 victory this season. Recent form presents a minor complication: Atlanta has won three of their last five games while Pittsburgh has split their last five with two losses, suggesting some volatility in Pittsburgh's play. However, this modest dip in form does not materially challenge the structural gap in ratings or the historical dominance. The market's implied probabilities are not provided here, but the ratings consensus strongly indicates Pittsburgh as the superior team on the field.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.

Metric by metric

Pittsburgh Steelers · Atlanta Falcons — our 0-100 ratings, side by side

52Overall18
14Offense23
76Defense33
51Dominance21
85Consistency100
40Pedigree2
7Entertainment37
Pittsburgh Steelers · Momentum ↗ rising 1Atlanta Falcons · Momentum ↗ rising 1

Season trends

up to 16 seasons, both teams

Season rating
1-100 overall rating per season
10067330201020122014201620182020202220242026
Point differential
average per-game margin
93-3-9201020122014201620182020202220242026
Points per game
Scored
34261912201020122014201620182020202220242026
SRS
schedule-adjusted margin (2021+ only)
1.7-2.3-6.3-10.3201020122014201620182020202220242026

Archived Sep 13, 2026, 05:00 PM UTC

Odds Analysis & Market Prediction

With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at 72%. 11 of 11 bookmakers agree.

Fair win probability

Pittsburgh Steelers
72%
Atlanta Falcons
28%

Average bookmaker margin 4.3%.

Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons

BookHomeAway
DraftKings1.343.40
Fanatics1.333.40
BetRivers1.343.35
BetOnline.ag1.313.60
FanDuel1.333.45
LowVig.ag1.313.60
BetUS1.343.40
Caesars1.323.45
BetMGM1.333.50
Bovada1.343.40
MyBookie.ag1.343.30

Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 18+

Head-to-Head Record

Week 1 · 20242024-09-08Atlanta Falcons 10-18 Pittsburgh SteelersW
Week 13 · 20222022-12-04Atlanta Falcons 16-19 Pittsburgh SteelersW
— · 20182018-10-07Pittsburgh Steelers 41-17 Atlanta FalconsW
— · 20172017-08-20Pittsburgh Steelers 17-13 Atlanta FalconsW
— · 20142014-12-14Atlanta Falcons 20-27 Pittsburgh SteelersW
— · 20112011-08-27Pittsburgh Steelers 34-16 Atlanta FalconsW

Pittsburgh Steelers — Recent Form — Last Games

LWLWWWLL
  • 2026-01-13Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans 6-30
  • 2026-01-05Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens 26-24
  • 2025-12-28Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers 13-6
  • 2025-12-21Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers 24-29
  • 2025-12-16Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins 28-15
  • 2025-12-07Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 22-27
  • 2025-11-30Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills 7-26
  • 2025-11-23Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers 31-28

Atlanta Falcons — Recent Form — Last Games

WWWWLLWL
  • 2026-01-04Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 19-17
  • 2025-12-30Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams 27-24
  • 2025-12-21Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons 19-26
  • 2025-12-12Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons 28-29
  • 2025-12-07Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks 9-37
  • 2025-11-30New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons 27-24
  • 2025-11-23New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 10-24
  • 2025-11-16Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers 27-30