Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Match Analysis

The gap between these two sides reads as enormous. Philadelphia leads overall power 87 to 27, defense 84 to 17, and pedigree 90 to 21. On offense the Eagles sit at 71 against Washington's 35. The ratings favour Philadelphia by 60 points in overall power, and the market agrees — it prices the Eagles at 67 per cent and the Commanders at 33 per cent. Both are saying the same thing. I keep coming back to what happens at home for Washington, though. The Commanders have lost their last four matches on their own field; they're 0 wins from 4 there. Philadelphia's home record over their last 4 matches is 1 win from 4, so the Eagles aren't exactly breezing through either. The recent head-to-head over 5 matches shows Philadelphia with 3 wins and 2 losses, and Washington came away with a win just three weeks ago, 24-17 in Week 18. That's enough to know this isn't quite the rout the raw ratings might suggest on paper. I'd say the one genuine oddity is consistency. Washington rates at 50 there against Philadelphia's 35 — the Commanders are the more reliable team on a week-to-week basis, a 15-point gap. The Eagles' offense sits 36 points ahead, their dominance 54 points clear, and their defense an overwhelming 67 points higher. But that consistency rating matters: Philadelphia's form is choppy enough at home that Washington's home struggles don't tell the whole story. The ratings and market alignment holds, yet Philadelphia's recent inconsistency gives the scoreline enough room to breathe.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.