Lyon Host Le Havre at Groupama Stadium

Match Analysis

Lyon come into this fixture with a substantial edge across almost every dimension. The ratings show them leading 68 to 44 in overall strength, with particularly large gaps in attack (61 to 33, +28) and consistency (67 to 38, +29). Their defensive rating of 71 beats Le Havre's 67 by just 4 points—the only area where the gap tightens. The market agrees with these ratings entirely: Lyon are priced at 65% implied probability against Le Havre's 14%. Both the underlying quality assessment and the betting odds point in the same direction. Head-to-head history supports Lyon's position. They've won 3 of the 6 meetings, with Le Havre's sole victory coming back in January 2024. The last five encounters show Lyon winning 3 times to Le Havre's one, though there's a draw in there from March this year. Recent form adds texture to Lyon's advantage. At home, they've won 4 of their last 5 matches—losing only one. Le Havre's record across their last five overall sits at 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. That home/away split is revealing too: Lyon have picked up 4 wins from 5 at home against Le Havre's 1 win from 5, suggesting Lyon's home advantage will matter here. I'd flag Le Havre's away form as a potential complication—they've managed 2 wins from 5 on the road—but they'll need to reverse a trend of heavy defeats in this fixture if they're to trouble Lyon.

An objective read of long-term data and odds — not a prediction or betting advice.