Lyon Host Auxerre at Groupama Stadium

Match Analysis

Lyon's dominance over Auxerre is plain from the ratings. They lead across every dimension: overall strength by 18 points, attack by 15, and defense by 6. What strikes me most is consistency. Lyon's rating of 67 dwarfs Auxerre's 16—a 51-point gap that speaks to wildly different levels of reliability. The market sees it the same way, pricing Lyon at 61 per cent against Auxerre at 17 per cent. Both the ratings and the odds point to Lyon. The head-to-head record backs this up. Over their last five meetings, Lyon have 2 wins and 2 draws to Auxerre's 1 win and 2 draws. Across all ten meetings, Lyon lead 5-2. Recent form adds texture: Lyon have won 4 of their last 5 at home, losing just one. Auxerre's away form—2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in their last five—is steady enough, but not close to Lyon's home record. That's a real split. Away from home, Lyon have the same record as Auxerre does in the same stretch: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. I'd flag that Lyon's overall form over five matches stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, while Auxerre's is 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses—fractionally better for Lyon but both choppy. The difference, though, is where those wins come. Lyon's fortress at home is the edge.

An objective read of long-term data and odds — not a prediction or betting advice.