Deportivo La Coruna Host Valencia at Estadio Abanca-Riazor

Match Analysis

Deportivo La Coruna rates as the stronger side here, and the market agrees with the ratings. Both favour them: Deportivo's overall strength sits at 47 against Valencia's 43, and the market prices Deportivo at 38 per cent implied probability to Valencia's 31 per cent. The gap widens when you look at attack—Deportivo leads 47 to 38, a nine-point margin—and dominance, where they're ahead by 11 points. Valencia's only clear rating advantage is in consistency, where they lead 53 to 7, a stark 46-point difference that reflects their steadier recent form. That consistency rating matters, because the head-to-head record tells a different story. Across 12 meetings, Valencia have won 7 to Deportivo's 1. In the last five encounters, Valencia won three times without defeat. Recent direct meetings have gone Valencia's way, including a 2-1 win as recently as May 2018. What strikes me is that Deportivo's home record in their last five is 2 wins from 5, while Valencia's last five at home shows 0 wins from 5—so this is a match where recent form at the venue matters. Away from home, by contrast, Valencia have 3 wins from 5, and Deportivo hold 1 win from 5. The ratings and market alignment on Deportivo doesn't sit easily against Valencia's dominance in this fixture's history.

An objective read of long-term data and odds — not a prediction or betting advice.