Empoli Host Cremonese at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Match Analysis

Cremonese holds a clear edge in the proprietary ratings, leading across overall strength (43 vs 34), attack (30 vs 21), defense (56 vs 43), and dominance (41 vs 28). Empoli's only relative strength is in drama (57 vs 51), while consistency is nearly level. The market reflects this advantage, pricing Cremonese at 37% implied probability versus Empoli's 33%, with the draw at 30%. Ratings and odds align closely here: both signal Cremonese as the marginal favourite, though the gap is modest. Head-to-head history complicates the picture. In nine meetings, Empoli hold three wins to Cremonese's two, with four draws, suggesting Empoli have historically punched above their current rating profile in this fixture. Recent matchups show mixed results across competition levels, though Cremonese won their most recent Serie A encounter (April 2023). Recent form offers little clarity: Empoli alternated draws and wins with one loss (DWDWL), while Cremonese drew twice but also lost, with two wins (DDWLW). Neither team displays strong momentum, leaving the ratings and market consensus—Cremonese favoured but not decisively—as the primary guide.

An objective read of long-term data and odds — not a prediction or betting advice.