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League Cup (England)

Manchester City Host Brighton at Etihad Stadium

Oct 28, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Match Preview

Out of their last 20 home matches, Manchester City won 17, drew 1, and lost 2 — numbers that suggest this side is dominating at home right now. Goals have flowed too — 80% of those home matches finished above 2.5. Last time out home, they beat Sunderland 5-3.

Brighton has seen 50% of recent away matches finish above 2.5 goals — a trend worth weighing against the odds and predictions elsewhere on this site. Their latest away result: a 3-2 win versus Manchester United.

Manchester City vs Brighton has produced 13 wins for Manchester City, 3 for Brighton, and 3 draws across their last 19 games — a fairly complete picture of how this fixture tends to go. Scoring has been high in this rivalry, with 68% of meetings above 2.5 goals. They last met in the Premier League, a game that finished Manchester City 1-1 Brighton.

Team Strength Comparison

Manchester CityvsBrighton

OverallAttackDefenseDominanceConsistencyPedigree
Manchester CityBrighton

Metric by metric

Manchester City · Brighton — a longer bar means a higher rating (0–100).

100Overall57
100Attack59
100Defense69
100Dominance49
52Consistency64
100Pedigree20
98Global Rating63
100Entertainment84
Manchester City · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 11Brighton · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 67

10-season trends

Both clubs on one continuous scale — a promoted club's climb shows as a smooth rise, not a break.

Season rating
Overall performance each season (0–100)
10067330201620182020202220242026
League finishing position
Top = higher up (across divisions).
161217201620182020202220242026
Points per season
100704010201620182020202220242026
Goals scored vs conceded
Per game, each season
3.22.41.70.9201620182020202220242026

Odds Analysis & Market Prediction

With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Manchester City the favourite at 58%. 3 of 3 bookmakers agree.

Fair win probability

Manchester City
58%
Draw
23%
Brighton
19%

Average bookmaker margin 7.2%.

Archived Oct 3, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC

Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Manchester City vs Brighton

BookHomeDrawAway
FanDuel1.534.205.30
Bovada1.624.004.90
BetMGM1.624.204.80

Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 21+

Head-to-Head Record

Premier League · Regular Season - 212026-01-07Manchester City 1-1 BrightonD
Premier League · Regular Season - 32025-08-31Brighton 2-1 Manchester CityL
Premier League · Regular Season - 292025-03-15Manchester City 2-2 BrightonD
Premier League · Regular Season - 112024-11-09Brighton 2-1 Manchester CityL
Premier League · Regular Season - 292024-04-25Brighton 0-4 Manchester CityW
Premier League · Regular Season - 92023-10-21Manchester City 2-1 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 322023-05-24Brighton 1-1 Manchester CityD
Premier League · Regular Season - 132022-10-22Manchester City 3-1 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 302022-04-20Manchester City 3-0 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 92021-10-23Brighton 1-4 Manchester CityW
Premier League · Regular Season - 372021-05-18Brighton 3-2 Manchester CityL
Premier League · Regular Season - 182021-01-13Manchester City 1-0 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 352020-07-11Brighton 0-5 Manchester CityW
Premier League · Regular Season - 42019-08-31Manchester City 4-0 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 382019-05-12Brighton 1-4 Manchester CityW
FA Cup · Semi-finals2019-04-06Manchester City 1-0 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 72018-09-29Manchester City 2-0 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 312018-05-09Manchester City 3-1 BrightonW
Premier League · Regular Season - 12017-08-12Brighton 0-2 Manchester CityW

Recent Form — Home & Away

Manchester City — Home

WWWWWLWWWWWLDWWWWWWW
  • 2026-09-20Manchester City vs Sunderland 5-3
  • 2026-09-17Manchester City vs Norwich 5-0
  • 2026-09-05Manchester City vs Coventry 1-0
  • 2026-08-23Manchester City vs Bournemouth 2-1
  • 2026-08-09Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid 3-1
  • 2026-05-24Manchester City vs Aston Villa 1-2
  • 2026-05-13Manchester City vs Crystal Palace 3-0
  • 2026-05-09Manchester City vs Brentford 3-0
  • 2026-04-25Manchester City vs Southampton 2-1
  • 2026-04-19Manchester City vs Arsenal 2-1
  • 2026-04-04Manchester City vs Liverpool 4-0
  • 2026-03-17Manchester City vs Real Madrid 1-2
  • 2026-03-04Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest 2-2
  • 2026-02-21Manchester City vs Newcastle 2-1
  • 2026-02-14Manchester City vs Salford City 2-0
  • 2026-02-11Manchester City vs Fulham 3-0
  • 2026-02-04Manchester City vs Newcastle 3-1
  • 2026-01-28Manchester City vs Galatasaray 2-0
  • 2026-01-24Manchester City vs Wolves 2-0
  • 2026-01-10Manchester City vs Exeter City 10-1

Manchester City — Away

WWWLWDWDWWWDLWWWDLLW
  • 2026-09-13Manchester United vs Manchester City 0-1
  • 2026-09-08FC Porto vs Manchester City 0-2
  • 2026-08-28Crystal Palace vs Manchester City 1-4
  • 2026-08-16Arsenal vs Manchester City 3-0
  • 2026-08-05K-League Stars vs Manchester City 1-3
  • 2026-05-19Bournemouth vs Manchester City 1-1
  • 2026-05-16Chelsea vs Manchester City 0-1
  • 2026-05-04Everton vs Manchester City 3-3
  • 2026-04-22Burnley vs Manchester City 0-1
  • 2026-04-12Chelsea vs Manchester City 0-3
  • 2026-03-22Arsenal vs Manchester City 0-2
  • 2026-03-14West Ham vs Manchester City 1-1
  • 2026-03-11Real Madrid vs Manchester City 3-0
  • 2026-03-07Newcastle vs Manchester City 1-3
  • 2026-02-28Leeds vs Manchester City 0-1
  • 2026-02-08Liverpool vs Manchester City 1-2
  • 2026-02-01Tottenham vs Manchester City 2-2
  • 2026-01-20Bodo/Glimt vs Manchester City 3-1
  • 2026-01-17Manchester United vs Manchester City 2-0
  • 2026-01-13Newcastle vs Manchester City 0-2

Brighton — Home

WDWWWWWLWWWLWLDDWDDL
  • 2026-09-19Brighton vs Arsenal 3-0
  • 2026-09-05Brighton vs Leeds 1-1
  • 2026-08-27Brighton vs Tromso 4-0
  • 2026-08-23Brighton vs Aston Villa 4-0
  • 2026-08-15Brighton vs Bologna 1-0
  • 2026-08-08Brighton vs AS Roma 3-0
  • 2026-08-01Brighton vs Strasbourg 4-3
  • 2026-05-24Brighton vs Manchester United 0-3
  • 2026-05-09Brighton vs Wolves 3-0
  • 2026-04-21Brighton vs Chelsea 3-0
  • 2026-03-21Brighton vs Liverpool 2-1
  • 2026-03-04Brighton vs Arsenal 0-1
  • 2026-03-01Brighton vs Nottingham Forest 2-1
  • 2026-02-08Brighton vs Crystal Palace 0-1
  • 2026-01-31Brighton vs Everton 1-1
  • 2026-01-19Brighton vs Bournemouth 1-1
  • 2026-01-03Brighton vs Burnley 2-0
  • 2025-12-20Brighton vs Sunderland 0-0
  • 2025-12-07Brighton vs West Ham 1-1
  • 2025-12-03Brighton vs Aston Villa 3-4

Brighton — Away

WWLDLLDWWWLLLWDDLLWD
  • 2026-09-16Manchester United vs Brighton 2-3
  • 2026-09-13Coventry vs Brighton 0-5
  • 2026-08-30Chelsea vs Brighton 4-3
  • 2026-08-20Tromso vs Brighton 0-0
  • 2026-05-17Leeds vs Brighton 1-0
  • 2026-05-02Newcastle vs Brighton 3-1
  • 2026-04-18Tottenham vs Brighton 2-2
  • 2026-04-11Burnley vs Brighton 0-2
  • 2026-03-14Sunderland vs Brighton 0-1
  • 2026-02-21Brentford vs Brighton 0-2
  • 2026-02-14Liverpool vs Brighton 3-0
  • 2026-02-11Aston Villa vs Brighton 1-0
  • 2026-01-24Fulham vs Brighton 2-1
  • 2026-01-11Manchester United vs Brighton 1-2
  • 2026-01-07Manchester City vs Brighton 1-1
  • 2025-12-30West Ham vs Brighton 2-2
  • 2025-12-27Arsenal vs Brighton 2-1
  • 2025-12-13Liverpool vs Brighton 2-0
  • 2025-11-30Nottingham Forest vs Brighton 0-2
  • 2025-11-09Crystal Palace vs Brighton 0-0