Cagliari Host Inter at Unipol Domus

Match Analysis

The ratings and the market are aligned here, both pointing decisively toward Inter. The visitors hold a 100 to 32 advantage in overall strength, with attack the most pronounced gap—Inter leads 100 to 15, a 85-point margin. On dominance and defense, Inter also pull clear: 100 to 25 and 100 to 46 respectively. The market reflects this imbalance, implying a 66 percent probability of an Inter win against Cagliari's 12 percent. Consistency is the only dimension where the gap tightens; Inter's 70 rating still leads Cagliari's 62, but the 8-point margin is modest by comparison. The head-to-head record reinforces the narrative. Cagliari have won just 2 of 20 meetings, losing 16. In their last five encounters, Inter have won four and drawn one, while Cagliari haven't managed a win. The recent sequence is particularly stark: three straight defeats to Inter, the most recent a 3-0 loss in April. What strikes me is how Cagliari's recent form—3 wins, 2 draws in their last five overall—sits awkwardly against these fixtures. At home they've won 4 of 5; away they're unbeaten in five. That's strong domestic form. But those numbers come against the broader Serie A, not against Inter. Every piece of direct evidence between these two teams says Inter dominate. Cagliari's consistency rating of 62 is respectable, yet they've conceded three goals in each of their last two meetings with Inter. The ratings, the market, and the history all tell the same story here.

An objective read of long-term data and odds — not a prediction or betting advice.