Championship (England)
Watford Host Burnley at Vicarage Road
Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Match Preview
Recent home matches tell a clear story: Watford has been solid without being spectacular at home, with 8 wins to show for their last 20 games. 40% of their last 20 home matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Most recently home, they lost to Stoke City by 1-2.
Burnley carries a away scoring profile where 60% of matches go over 2.5 goals, a data point worth folding into any prediction alongside the current odds. Their latest away result: a 1-3 loss versus Swansea.
Goals have flowed in this fixture historically — 50% of the last 20 games between Watford and Burnley finished over 2.5, alongside a 4-8-8 head-to-head record. Their previous meeting came in the Championship, ending Watford 1-2 Burnley.
Team Strength Comparison
WatfordBurnley
Metric by metric
Watford · Burnley — a longer bar means a higher rating (0–100).
33Overall34
25Attack28
52Defense51
31Dominance27
33Consistency9
3Pedigree6
44Global Rating44
60Entertainment65
Watford · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 1Burnley · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 1
10-season trends
Both clubs on one continuous scale — a promoted club's climb shows as a smooth rise, not a break.
Season rating
Overall performance each season (0–100)
League finishing position
Top = higher up (across divisions).
Points per season
Goals scored vs conceded
Per game, each season
Odds Analysis & Market Prediction
With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Burnley the favourite at 41%. 17 of 17 bookmakers agree.
Fair win probability
Watford
32%
Draw
27%
Burnley
41%
Average bookmaker margin 8%.
Archived Oct 3, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC
Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Watford vs Burnley
| Book | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Betfred (UK) | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 2.92 | 3.65 | 2.40 |
| Smarkets | 2.86 | 3.55 | 2.38 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.28 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.32 |
| Casumo | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.33 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Coral | 2.87 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betway | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 21+
Head-to-Head Record
| Championship · Regular Season - 43 | 2025-04-18 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | L |
| Championship · Regular Season - 22 | 2024-12-21 | Burnley 2-1 Watford | L |
| Championship · Regular Season - 32 | 2023-02-14 | Burnley 1-1 Watford | D |
| Championship · Regular Season - 3 | 2022-08-12 | Watford 1-0 Burnley | W |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 35 | 2022-04-30 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | L |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 17 | 2022-02-05 | Burnley 0-0 Watford | D |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 31 | 2020-06-25 | Burnley 1-0 Watford | L |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 13 | 2019-11-23 | Watford 0-3 Burnley | L |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 23 | 2019-01-19 | Watford 0-0 Burnley | D |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 2 | 2018-08-19 | Burnley 1-3 Watford | W |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 33 | 2018-04-07 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | L |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 16 | 2017-12-09 | Burnley 1-0 Watford | L |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 24 | 2017-02-04 | Watford 2-1 Burnley | W |
| Premier League · Regular Season - 6 | 2016-09-26 | Burnley 2-0 Watford | L |
| Championship · Regular Season - 40 | 2014-04-05 | Watford 1-1 Burnley | D |
| Championship · Regular Season - 18 | 2013-12-03 | Burnley 0-0 Watford | D |
| Championship · Regular Season - 39 | 2013-03-29 | Watford 3-3 Burnley | D |
| Championship · Regular Season - 22 | 2012-12-15 | Burnley 1-1 Watford | D |
| Championship · Regular Season - 34 | 2012-03-03 | Watford 3-2 Burnley | W |
| Championship · Regular Season - 1 | 2011-08-06 | Burnley 2-2 Watford | D |
Recent Form — Home & Away
Watford — Home
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- 2026-09-12Watford vs Stoke City 1-2
- 2026-09-08Watford vs Preston 2-1
- 2026-08-29Watford vs West Ham 1-1
- 2026-08-25Watford vs Peterborough 1-5
- 2026-08-16Watford vs Southampton 2-1
- 2026-08-08Watford vs Crawley Town 1-0
- 2026-07-29Watford vs Fiorentina 0-1
- 2026-07-25Watford vs Hansa Rostock 3-0
- 2026-05-02Watford vs Coventry 0-4
- 2026-04-18Watford vs Sheffield Utd 0-2
- 2026-04-06Watford vs Charlton 1-1
- 2026-03-21Watford vs Leicester 0-0
- 2026-03-17Watford vs Wrexham 3-1
- 2026-02-24Watford vs Ipswich 0-2
- 2026-02-21Watford vs Derby 2-0
- 2026-01-31Watford vs Swansea 0-2
- 2026-01-21Watford vs Portsmouth 1-1
- 2026-01-17Watford vs Millwall 0-2
- 2026-01-01Watford vs Birmingham 3-0
- 2025-12-20Watford vs Stoke City 1-0
Watford — Away
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- 2026-09-18Bristol City vs Watford 1-0
- 2026-09-05West Brom vs Watford 1-0
- 2026-09-01Swansea vs Watford 2-0
- 2026-08-22Wrexham vs Watford 1-1
- 2026-07-14Barnet vs Watford 2-2
- 2026-07-11Boreham Wood vs Watford 2-1
- 2026-04-25Middlesbrough vs Watford 5-1
- 2026-04-21West Brom vs Watford 3-0
- 2026-04-11Oxford United vs Watford 2-0
- 2026-04-03QPR vs Watford 2-1
- 2026-03-14Stoke City vs Watford 3-1
- 2026-03-10Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford 1-1
- 2026-02-27Bristol City vs Watford 1-2
- 2026-02-14Preston vs Watford 2-2
- 2026-02-07Southampton vs Watford 1-0
- 2026-02-03Hull City vs Watford 0-0
- 2026-01-24Blackburn vs Watford 1-1
- 2026-01-10Bristol City vs Watford 5-1
- 2025-12-29Norwich vs Watford 0-1
- 2025-12-26Leicester vs Watford 1-2
Burnley — Home
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- 2026-09-19Burnley vs Derby 1-1
- 2026-09-05Burnley vs Bristol City 1-2
- 2026-09-02Burnley vs Middlesbrough 1-1
- 2026-08-16Burnley vs West Ham 2-2
- 2026-08-02Burnley vs Torino 0-1
- 2026-07-29Burnley vs Espanyol 2-2
- 2026-05-24Burnley vs Wolves 1-1
- 2026-05-10Burnley vs Aston Villa 2-2
- 2026-04-22Burnley vs Manchester City 0-1
- 2026-04-11Burnley vs Brighton 0-2
- 2026-03-14Burnley vs Bournemouth 0-0
- 2026-02-28Burnley vs Brentford 3-4
- 2026-02-14Burnley vs Mansfield Town 1-2
- 2026-02-07Burnley vs West Ham 0-2
- 2026-01-24Burnley vs Tottenham 2-2
- 2026-01-10Burnley vs Millwall 5-1
- 2026-01-07Burnley vs Manchester United 2-2
- 2025-12-30Burnley vs Newcastle 1-3
- 2025-12-27Burnley vs Everton 0-0
- 2025-12-13Burnley vs Fulham 2-3
Burnley — Away
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- 2026-09-12Swansea vs Burnley 3-1
- 2026-09-08Wrexham vs Burnley 1-1
- 2026-08-29Norwich vs Burnley 4-1
- 2026-08-23West Brom vs Burnley 3-1
- 2026-07-26Ajax vs Burnley 2-1
- 2026-07-16Real Salt Lake vs Burnley 4-1
- 2026-07-12Columbus Crew vs Burnley 1-1
- 2026-07-10FC Cincinnati vs Burnley 3-1
- 2026-05-18Arsenal vs Burnley 1-0
- 2026-05-01Leeds vs Burnley 3-1
- 2026-04-19Nottingham Forest vs Burnley 4-1
- 2026-03-21Fulham vs Burnley 3-1
- 2026-03-03Everton vs Burnley 2-0
- 2026-02-21Chelsea vs Burnley 1-1
- 2026-02-11Crystal Palace vs Burnley 2-3
- 2026-02-02Sunderland vs Burnley 3-0
- 2026-01-17Liverpool vs Burnley 1-1
- 2026-01-03Brighton vs Burnley 2-0
- 2025-12-20Bournemouth vs Burnley 1-1
- 2025-12-06Newcastle vs Burnley 2-1