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League Cup (England)

Bournemouth Host Aston Villa at Vitality Stadium

Oct 28, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC

Match Preview

It's been 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses for Bournemouth in their last 20 home matches — form that shows a genuinely mixed home record. 55% of recent home matches have finished above the 2.5-goal mark. Their latest home result: a 0-1 loss versus Liverpool.

Looking at the last 20 away matches on record, Aston Villa sits at 9-3-8, and has been up and down on their travels. Goals have flowed too — 75% of those away matches finished above 2.5. Most recently away, they beat Tottenham by 3-2.

Aston Villa has had the better of this rivalry lately, winning 6 of the last 13 games to Bournemouth's 4, with 3 finishing level. The over 2.5 line has hit in 62% of their head-to-head meetings. Their previous meeting came in the Premier League, ending Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa.

Team Strength Comparison

BournemouthvsAston Villa

OverallAttackDefenseDominanceConsistencyPedigree
BournemouthAston Villa

Metric by metric

Bournemouth · Aston Villa — a longer bar means a higher rating (0–100).

43Overall51
37Attack36
55Defense60
34Dominance45
41Consistency49
12Pedigree24
52Global Rating58
74Entertainment69
Bournemouth · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 17Aston Villa · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 1

10-season trends

Both clubs on one continuous scale — a promoted club's climb shows as a smooth rise, not a break.

Season rating
Overall performance each season (0–100)
10067330201620182020202220242026
League finishing position
Top = higher up (across divisions).
171218201620182020202220242026
Points per season
8860313201620182020202220242026
Goals scored vs conceded
Per game, each season
2.01.61.20.8201620182020202220242026

Odds Analysis & Market Prediction

With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Bournemouth the favourite at 41%. 3 of 3 bookmakers agree.

Fair win probability

Bournemouth
41%
Draw
27%
Aston Villa
32%

Average bookmaker margin 6.8%.

Archived Oct 3, 2026, 12:47 PM UTC

Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

BookHomeDrawAway
FanDuel2.303.502.85
Bovada2.253.452.95
BetMGM2.303.502.95

Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 21+

Head-to-Head Record

Premier League · Regular Season - 252026-02-07Bournemouth 1-1 Aston VillaD
Premier League · Regular Season - 112025-11-09Aston Villa 4-0 BournemouthL
Premier League · Regular Season - 362025-05-10Bournemouth 0-1 Aston VillaL
Premier League · Regular Season - 92024-10-26Aston Villa 1-1 BournemouthD
Premier League · Regular Season - 342024-04-21Aston Villa 3-1 BournemouthL
Premier League · Regular Season - 142023-12-03Bournemouth 2-2 Aston VillaD
Premier League · Regular Season - 282023-03-18Aston Villa 3-0 BournemouthL
Premier League · Regular Season - 12022-08-06Bournemouth 2-0 Aston VillaW
Premier League · Regular Season - 252020-02-01Bournemouth 2-1 Aston VillaW
Premier League · Regular Season - 22019-08-17Aston Villa 1-2 BournemouthW
Premier League · Regular Season - 332016-04-09Aston Villa 1-2 BournemouthW
Premier League · Regular Season - 12015-08-08Bournemouth 0-1 Aston VillaL
FA Cup · 4th Round2015-01-25Aston Villa 2-1 BournemouthL

Recent Form — Home & Away

Bournemouth — Home

LDWDWWDWDDDDDWWLDDLD
  • 2026-09-20Bournemouth vs Liverpool 0-1
  • 2026-09-12Bournemouth vs Brentford 2-2
  • 2026-09-08Bournemouth vs Lincoln 4-0
  • 2026-08-29Bournemouth vs Everton 1-1
  • 2026-08-04Bournemouth vs Genoa 10-1
  • 2026-07-24Bournemouth vs FC St. Pauli 4-1
  • 2026-05-19Bournemouth vs Manchester City 1-1
  • 2026-05-03Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace 3-0
  • 2026-04-22Bournemouth vs Leeds 2-2
  • 2026-03-20Bournemouth vs Manchester United 2-2
  • 2026-03-03Bournemouth vs Brentford 0-0
  • 2026-02-28Bournemouth vs Sunderland 1-1
  • 2026-02-07Bournemouth vs Aston Villa 1-1
  • 2026-01-24Bournemouth vs Liverpool 3-2
  • 2026-01-07Bournemouth vs Tottenham 3-2
  • 2026-01-03Bournemouth vs Arsenal 2-3
  • 2025-12-20Bournemouth vs Burnley 1-1
  • 2025-12-06Bournemouth vs Chelsea 0-0
  • 2025-12-02Bournemouth vs Everton 0-1
  • 2025-11-22Bournemouth vs West Ham 2-2

Bournemouth — Away

WDLLDWDWWWDDWWDDLDLL
  • 2026-09-17Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth 1-2
  • 2026-09-05Newcastle vs Bournemouth 2-2
  • 2026-08-23Manchester City vs Bournemouth 2-1
  • 2026-08-15FSV Mainz 05 vs Bournemouth 2-1
  • 2026-08-08Real Betis vs Bournemouth 2-2
  • 2026-07-30FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth 2-5
  • 2026-05-24Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth 1-1
  • 2026-05-09Fulham vs Bournemouth 0-1
  • 2026-04-18Newcastle vs Bournemouth 1-2
  • 2026-04-11Arsenal vs Bournemouth 1-2
  • 2026-03-14Burnley vs Bournemouth 0-0
  • 2026-02-21West Ham vs Bournemouth 0-0
  • 2026-02-10Everton vs Bournemouth 1-2
  • 2026-01-31Wolves vs Bournemouth 0-2
  • 2026-01-19Brighton vs Bournemouth 1-1
  • 2025-12-30Chelsea vs Bournemouth 2-2
  • 2025-12-27Brentford vs Bournemouth 4-1
  • 2025-12-15Manchester United vs Bournemouth 4-4
  • 2025-11-29Sunderland vs Bournemouth 3-2
  • 2025-11-09Aston Villa vs Bournemouth 4-0

Aston Villa — Home

LLLWWLWWLWWLDLWLWLWW
  • 2026-09-12Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 1-2
  • 2026-08-31Aston Villa vs Arsenal 0-1
  • 2026-07-28Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad 2-4
  • 2026-05-15Aston Villa vs Liverpool 4-2
  • 2026-05-07Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 4-0
  • 2026-05-03Aston Villa vs Tottenham 1-2
  • 2026-04-19Aston Villa vs Sunderland 4-3
  • 2026-04-16Aston Villa vs Bologna 4-0
  • 2026-03-27Aston Villa vs Elche 1-2
  • 2026-03-22Aston Villa vs West Ham 2-0
  • 2026-03-19Aston Villa vs Lille 2-0
  • 2026-03-04Aston Villa vs Chelsea 1-4
  • 2026-02-21Aston Villa vs Leeds 1-1
  • 2026-02-14Aston Villa vs Newcastle 1-3
  • 2026-02-11Aston Villa vs Brighton 1-0
  • 2026-02-01Aston Villa vs Brentford 0-1
  • 2026-01-29Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg 3-2
  • 2026-01-18Aston Villa vs Everton 0-1
  • 2026-01-03Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 3-1
  • 2025-12-21Aston Villa vs Manchester United 2-1

Aston Villa — Away

WWWDLLLLWLWWWDLLDWLW
  • 2026-09-19Tottenham vs Aston Villa 2-3
  • 2026-09-16Coventry vs Aston Villa 1-3
  • 2026-09-08Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa 2-3
  • 2026-09-05Hull City vs Aston Villa 0-0
  • 2026-08-23Brighton vs Aston Villa 4-0
  • 2026-08-15Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa 2-1
  • 2026-08-12Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa 2-1
  • 2026-08-07Bayern München vs Aston Villa 2-1
  • 2026-08-04BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa 1-3
  • 2026-07-25FC Porto vs Aston Villa 2-1
  • 2026-07-21Walsall vs Aston Villa 0-5
  • 2026-05-24Manchester City vs Aston Villa 1-2
  • 2026-05-20SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa 0-3
  • 2026-05-10Burnley vs Aston Villa 2-2
  • 2026-04-30Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa 1-0
  • 2026-04-25Fulham vs Aston Villa 1-0
  • 2026-04-12Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa 1-1
  • 2026-04-09Bologna vs Aston Villa 1-3
  • 2026-03-15Manchester United vs Aston Villa 3-1
  • 2026-03-12Lille vs Aston Villa 0-1