Serie B (Brazil)
Botafogo SP Host Vila Nova at Estádio Santa Cruz
Oct 3, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Match Preview
With 8 wins from their last 20 home matches, Botafogo SP has been up and down on home turf. The over 2.5 line has hit in 50% of their recent home matches. Their most recent home outing was a 1-3 loss against Goias.
Vila Nova has seen 30% of recent away matches finish above 2.5 goals — a trend worth weighing against the odds and predictions elsewhere on this site. Most recently away, they drew with Avai by 1-1.
These two have met 9 times recently, with Botafogo SP winning 3, Vila Nova winning 5, and 1 ending in a draw. 22% of their recent head-to-head clashes finished above the 2.5-goal mark. They last met in the Serie B, a game that finished Vila Nova 1-0 Botafogo SP.
Team Strength Comparison
Botafogo SPVila Nova
Metric by metric
Botafogo SP · Vila Nova — a longer bar means a higher rating (0–100).
26Overall50
23Attack47
49Defense68
29Dominance53
71Consistency57
1Pedigree1
39Global Rating55
32Entertainment37
Botafogo SP · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 11Vila Nova · 5-season trajectory ↗ Rising 20
10-season trends
Both clubs on one continuous scale — a promoted club's climb shows as a smooth rise, not a break.
Season rating
Overall performance each season (0–100)
League finishing position
Top = higher up (across divisions).
Points per season
Goals scored vs conceded
Per game, each season
Odds Analysis & Market Prediction
With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Botafogo SP the favourite at 38%. 8 of 8 bookmakers agree.
Fair win probability
Botafogo SP
38%
Draw
32%
Vila Nova
30%
Average bookmaker margin 7.5%.
Archived Oct 3, 2026, 08:37 AM UTC
Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova
| Book | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.43 | 3.00 | 2.85 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48 | 2.94 | 3.15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48 | 2.94 | 3.15 |
| FanDuel | 2.40 | 2.95 | 3.10 |
| BetMGM | 2.40 | 2.90 | 2.95 |
| BetUS | 2.48 | 2.94 | 3.15 |
| DraftKings | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.15 |
| Bovada | 2.44 | 2.88 | 3.05 |
Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 21+
Head-to-Head Record
| Serie B · Regular Season - 12 | 2026-06-08 | Vila Nova 1-0 Botafogo SP | L |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 23 | 2025-08-25 | Botafogo SP 2-0 Vila Nova | W |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 4 | 2025-04-20 | Vila Nova 2-0 Botafogo SP | L |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 29 | 2024-09-28 | Vila Nova 1-1 Botafogo SP | D |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 10 | 2024-06-16 | Botafogo SP 1-0 Vila Nova | W |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 32 | 2023-10-12 | Vila Nova 3-1 Botafogo SP | L |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 13 | 2023-06-24 | Botafogo SP 0-3 Vila Nova | L |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 23 | 2019-09-17 | Vila Nova 0-2 Botafogo SP | W |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 4 | 2019-05-18 | Botafogo SP 0-1 Vila Nova | L |
Recent Form — Home & Away
Botafogo SP — Home
LLLDWWWLWLDDLWLWWDDW
- 2026-09-14Botafogo SP vs Goias 1-3
- 2026-09-09Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino 1-3
- 2026-08-29Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba 1-2
- 2026-08-20Botafogo SP vs Criciuma 1-1
- 2026-08-08Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro 2-1
- 2026-07-24Botafogo SP vs Juventude 4-2
- 2026-07-06Botafogo SP vs Avai 3-1
- 2026-06-30Botafogo SP vs CRB 0-1
- 2026-06-14Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR 2-1
- 2026-05-25Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club 1-2
- 2026-05-02Botafogo SP vs Nautico Recife 1-1
- 2026-04-19Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense 1-1
- 2026-04-05Botafogo SP vs São Bernardo 1-2
- 2026-03-21Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza EC 4-0
- 2026-02-15Botafogo SP vs Capivariano 0-1
- 2026-02-01Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras 1-0
- 2026-01-22Botafogo SP vs Primavera SP 1-0
- 2026-01-15Botafogo SP vs Noroeste 1-1
- 2025-11-23Botafogo SP vs Avai 0-0
- 2025-11-10Botafogo SP vs Amazonas 1-0
Botafogo SP — Away
DLLWLDDWLDLLDLWWLLDL
- 2026-09-19Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP 1-1
- 2026-09-03Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-08-25Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP 3-0
- 2026-08-14São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP 0-1
- 2026-07-29Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-07-18Londrina vs Botafogo SP 0-0
- 2026-07-10Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP 3-3
- 2026-06-20Ceara vs Botafogo SP 0-1
- 2026-06-08Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-06-01Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP 0-0
- 2026-05-16Goias vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-05-10Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-04-23Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP 1-1
- 2026-04-10Criciuma vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-04-01America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP 1-2
- 2026-02-07Guarani Campinas vs Botafogo SP 0-2
- 2026-01-25Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP 2-0
- 2026-01-18RB Bragantino vs Botafogo SP 5-0
- 2026-01-11Velo Clube vs Botafogo SP 0-0
- 2025-11-16Criciuma vs Botafogo SP 2-0
Vila Nova — Home
WWWWWLWWWWWDWDWWDDDW
- 2026-09-25Vila Nova vs Londrina 2-0
- 2026-09-18Vila Nova vs America Mineiro 1-0
- 2026-09-10Vila Nova vs Goias 2-0
- 2026-08-30Vila Nova vs Ceara 2-0
- 2026-08-19Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta 6-0
- 2026-08-08Vila Nova vs Sport Recife 0-1
- 2026-07-22Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC 2-1
- 2026-07-06Vila Nova vs São Bernardo 2-1
- 2026-06-20Vila Nova vs Nautico Recife 4-3
- 2026-06-08Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-05-17Vila Nova vs Avai 2-0
- 2026-05-04Vila Nova vs Athletic Club 1-1
- 2026-04-18Vila Nova vs Operario-PR 2-1
- 2026-04-16Vila Nova vs Capital Brasilia 0-0
- 2026-04-04Vila Nova vs Atletico Goianiense 2-1
- 2026-03-28Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario 6-0
- 2026-03-21Vila Nova vs CRB 2-2
- 2026-03-01Vila Nova vs Atletico Goianiense 0-0
- 2026-02-16Vila Nova vs Anápolis 2-2
- 2026-02-08Vila Nova vs Jataiense 4-1
Vila Nova — Away
DLDWLLLLLWWLWDWDDLLW
- 2026-09-15Avai vs Vila Nova 1-1
- 2026-09-04Athletic Club vs Vila Nova 5-0
- 2026-08-23Operario-PR vs Vila Nova 0-0
- 2026-08-15Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova 0-2
- 2026-07-27CRB vs Vila Nova 2-0
- 2026-07-18Criciuma vs Vila Nova 2-0
- 2026-07-10Juventude vs Vila Nova 1-0
- 2026-06-26Novorizontino vs Vila Nova 2-1
- 2026-06-14Cuiaba vs Vila Nova 1-0
- 2026-05-31Londrina vs Vila Nova 0-1
- 2026-05-24America Mineiro vs Vila Nova 1-2
- 2026-05-09Goias vs Vila Nova 1-0
- 2026-04-29Araguaína vs Vila Nova 1-2
- 2026-04-26Ceara vs Vila Nova 3-3
- 2026-04-11Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova 0-1
- 2026-04-08Primavera MG vs Vila Nova 2-2
- 2026-04-01Sport Recife vs Vila Nova 1-1
- 2026-03-24Rio Branco ES vs Vila Nova 1-0
- 2026-02-22Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova 2-0
- 2026-02-13Anápolis vs Vila Nova 0-2