Landskrona BoIS Host Ostersunds FK at Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Analysis

Landskrona BoIS holds a substantial advantage in the proprietary ratings, leading across nearly every dimension. Their overall strength stands at 57 versus Ostersunds FK's 42—a 15-point gap that is mirrored in attack (56 to 40), defense (59 to 47), and dominance (61 to 40). The most striking disparity is consistency, where Landskrona BoIS scores 50 and Ostersunds FK a mere 10, suggesting erratic performance from the visitors. Yet the market's implied probabilities present a different picture: Landskrona BoIS are priced at 38 percent despite their ratings superiority, while Ostersunds FK receive 34 percent despite trailing significantly in most quality measures. The draw is weighted at 29 percent. This represents a meaningful divergence—the ratings suggest Landskrona BoIS should be favored more heavily than the market currently reflects. The head-to-head record complicates the ratings narrative considerably. Ostersunds FK have won 7 of 11 meetings, compared to Landskrona BoIS's 2 victories. In the last five encounters, the recent form tells differing stories: Landskrona BoIS have struggled with a record of one draw and four losses, while Ostersunds FK have posted one win, two draws, and two wins (WDWWD). The most recent fixture on 18 July 2026 saw Ostersunds FK win 2-0 away, though earlier in 2025 Landskrona BoIS have won 2-0 at home and drawn 3-3. This historical pattern suggests Ostersunds FK's ability to perform above their ratings when facing this opponent, or conversely that Landskrona BoIS's ratings do not fully translate to results in this specific matchup. The consistency gap of 40 points combined with recent form volatility may explain why the market has declined to overweight Landskrona BoIS despite the ratings gulf.

An objective read of long-term data and odds — not a prediction or betting advice.