Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC Host FC Cincinnati at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Oct 10, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC has seen 65% of recent home matches finish above 2.5 goals — a trend worth weighing against the odds and predictions elsewhere on this site. Their latest home result: a 2-2 draw versus New York City FC.
With 2 wins from their last 20 away matches, FC Cincinnati continues to bleed points away from home. The over 2.5 line has hit in 75% of their recent away matches. In their last away match, it finished a 1-3 loss against CF Montreal.
Tallying the last 18 games between these two: 6-7-5 in Atlanta United FC's column, a record worth reading alongside the current predictions on this site. Goals have flowed in this fixture — 56% of recent meetings went over 2.5. Their most recent meeting, in the Major League Soccer, ended FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United FC.
Odds Analysis & Market Prediction
With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 41%. 7 of 7 bookmakers agree.
Fair win probability
Atlanta United FC
41%
Draw
24%
FC Cincinnati
35%
Average bookmaker margin 7.5%.
Archived Oct 3, 2026, 01:32 PM UTC
Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati
| Book | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag | 2.26 | 3.80 | 2.68 |
| FanDuel | 2.20 | 4.10 | 2.70 |
| BetUS | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.63 |
| BetMGM | 2.30 | 3.90 | 2.60 |
| Bovada | 2.28 | 3.75 | 2.78 |
| BetRivers | 2.23 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| DraftKings | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 21+
Head-to-Head Record
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 1 | 2026-02-21 | FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United FC | L |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 15 | 2025-05-25 | Atlanta United FC 4-2 FC Cincinnati | W |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 5 | 2025-03-22 | FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United FC | D |
| Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3 | 2025-02-12 | Atlanta United FC 2-2 FC Cincinnati | D |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 | 2024-05-15 | FC Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta United FC | L |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 13 | 2024-04-20 | Atlanta United FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati | L |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 49 | 2023-10-22 | FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United FC | D |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 38 | 2023-08-30 | Atlanta United FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati | L |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 35 | 2022-08-13 | FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United FC | D |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 10 | 2022-04-16 | Atlanta United FC 0-0 FC Cincinnati | D |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 46 | 2021-11-07 | FC Cincinnati 1-2 Atlanta United FC | W |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32 | 2021-09-15 | Atlanta United FC 4-0 FC Cincinnati | W |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 19 | 2021-07-22 | FC Cincinnati 1-1 Atlanta United FC | D |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 25 | 2020-11-02 | Atlanta United FC 2-0 FC Cincinnati | W |
| Major League Soccer · Group Stage - 2 | 2020-07-16 | Atlanta United FC 0-1 FC Cincinnati | L |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 3 | 2020-03-08 | Atlanta United FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati | W |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 37 | 2019-09-18 | FC Cincinnati 0-2 Atlanta United FC | W |
| Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 3 | 2019-03-10 | Atlanta United FC 1-1 FC Cincinnati | D |
Recent Form — Home & Away
Atlanta United FC — Home
DLLWWLWLLLDWLDWWDDLD
- 2026-09-26Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC 2-2
- 2026-09-09Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC 2-3
- 2026-08-29Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte 0-2
- 2026-08-23Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City 2-1
- 2026-08-15Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls 2-1
- 2026-05-09Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2
- 2026-05-02Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal 3-1
- 2026-04-22Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution 1-2
- 2026-04-18Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC 0-2
- 2026-04-04Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew 1-3
- 2026-03-21Atlanta United FC vs DC United 0-0
- 2026-03-14Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union 3-1
- 2026-03-08Atlanta United FC vs Real Salt Lake 2-3
- 2026-02-14Atlanta United FC vs FC Dallas 0-0
- 2026-02-11Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls 3-2
- 2026-01-30Atlanta United FC vs Lexington 4-0
- 2025-10-18Atlanta United FC vs DC United 1-1
- 2025-09-20Atlanta United FC vs San Diego 1-1
- 2025-09-13Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew 4-5
- 2025-08-24Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC 0-0
Atlanta United FC — Away
WDDWLLDLLLDWWWLLLLLL
- 2026-09-20Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC 0-1
- 2026-09-12DC United vs Atlanta United FC 0-0
- 2026-09-05Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC 2-2
- 2026-08-20Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC 1-2
- 2026-08-01Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC 3-2
- 2026-07-25New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC 4-1
- 2026-07-23Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC 2-2
- 2026-07-18Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC 1-0
- 2026-05-24Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC 2-0
- 2026-05-19Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC 4-1
- 2026-05-16Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC 1-1
- 2026-04-28Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC 0-2
- 2026-04-25Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC 1-2
- 2026-04-15Chattanooga vs Atlanta United FC 1-3
- 2026-04-12Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC 1-0
- 2026-03-01San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC 2-0
- 2026-02-21FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC 2-0
- 2025-10-11Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC 4-0
- 2025-10-06Los Angeles FC vs Atlanta United FC 1-0
- 2025-09-27New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC 2-0
FC Cincinnati — Home
DDWLWWWWWWLWDWWLWWWL
- 2026-09-12FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte 3-3
- 2026-08-22FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders 1-1
- 2026-08-19FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC 2-1
- 2026-08-12FC Cincinnati vs Atlas 1-2
- 2026-08-08FC Cincinnati vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-0
- 2026-08-04FC Cincinnati vs CF Pachuca 3-1
- 2026-08-01FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes 4-2
- 2026-07-22FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3
- 2026-07-10FC Cincinnati vs Burnley 3-1
- 2026-05-23FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC 6-2
- 2026-05-13FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami 3-5
- 2026-04-25FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls 2-0
- 2026-04-18FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire 3-3
- 2026-03-22FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal 4-3
- 2026-03-13FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL 3-0
- 2026-03-08FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC 0-1
- 2026-02-26FC Cincinnati vs Universidad O&M 9-0
- 2026-02-21FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC 2-0
- 2026-02-07FC Cincinnati vs Detroit City 1-0
- 2025-11-23FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami 0-4
FC Cincinnati — Away
LDLLDLDDWDDLLLLWLDDL
- 2026-09-26CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati 3-1
- 2026-09-20Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati 2-2
- 2026-09-09Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati 5-0
- 2026-08-30Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati 4-0
- 2026-08-15Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati 1-1
- 2026-07-25Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati 2-1
- 2026-05-17San Diego vs FC Cincinnati 3-3
- 2026-05-09Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati 2-2
- 2026-05-03Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati 2-3
- 2026-04-22New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati 4-4
- 2026-04-11Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati 1-1
- 2026-04-04New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati 4-2
- 2026-03-20Tigres UANL vs FC Cincinnati 5-1
- 2026-03-15New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati 6-1
- 2026-02-28Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati 1-0
- 2026-02-19Universidad O&M vs FC Cincinnati 0-4
- 2026-02-11Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati 3-2
- 2026-01-28Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati 1-1
- 2026-01-23New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati 1-1
- 2025-11-02Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati 4-0