Serie B (Brazil)
Fortaleza EC Host Nautico Recife at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Oct 3, 2026, 12:35 AM UTC
FTFortaleza EC 1 - 1 Nautico Recife
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC's underlying home numbers (12-5-3 across 20 games) back up the read that this team has been near-unstoppable in front of their own fans. 55% of recent home matches have finished above the 2.5-goal mark. Most recently home, they drew with Athletic Club by 2-2.
Nautico Recife carries a away scoring profile where 55% of matches go over 2.5 goals, a data point worth folding into any prediction alongside the current odds. Last time out away, they lost to Cuiaba 0-3.
Fortaleza EC has had the better of this rivalry lately, winning 4 of the last 6 games to Nautico Recife's 0, with 2 finishing level. The over 2.5 line has hit in 50% of their head-to-head meetings. Their most recent meeting, in the Serie B, ended Fortaleza EC 1-1 Nautico Recife.
Team Strength Comparison
Metric by metric
Fortaleza EC · Nautico Recife — a longer bar means a higher rating (0–100).
10-season trends
Both clubs on one continuous scale — a promoted club's climb shows as a smooth rise, not a break.
Odds Analysis & Market Prediction
With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Draw the favourite at 85%. 4 of 4 bookmakers agree.
Fair win probability
Average bookmaker margin 7.7%.
Archived Oct 3, 2026, 05:58 AM UTC
Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife
| Book | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 12.00 | 1.07 | 28.00 |
| BetMGM | 7.25 | 1.13 | 14.50 |
| Bovada | 11.00 | 1.05 | 22.00 |
| DraftKings | 9.50 | 1.09 | 20.00 |
Moneyline captured before kickoff — historical reference only. 21+
Head-to-Head Record
| Serie B · Regular Season - 31 | 2026-10-03 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Nautico Recife | D |
| Serie B · Regular Season - 12 | 2026-06-09 | Nautico Recife 0-1 Fortaleza EC | W |
| Copa do Nordeste · Group Stage - 7 | 2023-02-26 | Fortaleza EC 2-1 Nautico Recife | W |
| Copa do Nordeste · Semi-finals | 2022-03-26 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 Nautico Recife | W |
| Copa do Nordeste · Group Stage - 4 | 2022-02-12 | Nautico Recife 2-2 Fortaleza EC | D |
| Copa do Nordeste · Group Stage - 7 | 2020-03-14 | Nautico Recife 0-3 Fortaleza EC | W |
Recent Form — Home & Away
Fortaleza EC — Home
- 2026-09-27Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club 2-2
- 2026-09-13Fortaleza EC vs Ceara 1-1
- 2026-09-09Fortaleza EC vs Avai 1-0
- 2026-08-31Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR 1-1
- 2026-08-19Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo 1-1
- 2026-08-06Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras 3-2
- 2026-07-29Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-07-18Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino 1-0
- 2026-07-03Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta 2-0
- 2026-06-28Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife 2-1
- 2026-06-16Fortaleza EC vs America Mineiro 0-3
- 2026-06-03Fortaleza EC vs Vitoria 1-2
- 2026-05-23Fortaleza EC vs Londrina 3-0
- 2026-05-21Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife 1-2
- 2026-05-02Fortaleza EC vs Goias 4-1
- 2026-04-30Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife 2-0
- 2026-04-22Fortaleza EC vs CRB 2-1
- 2026-04-19Fortaleza EC vs Criciuma 3-2
- 2026-04-04Fortaleza EC vs Juventude 2-1
- 2026-03-31Fortaleza EC vs Cuiaba 0-0
Fortaleza EC — Away
- 2026-09-20Londrina vs Fortaleza EC 1-2
- 2026-09-05Goias vs Fortaleza EC 0-1
- 2026-08-23Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC 0-2
- 2026-08-15Juventude vs Fortaleza EC 0-0
- 2026-08-09Cuiaba vs Fortaleza EC 1-1
- 2026-08-02Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC 3-0
- 2026-07-22Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC 2-1
- 2026-07-12Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC 1-0
- 2026-06-21CRB vs Fortaleza EC 1-1
- 2026-06-09Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC 0-1
- 2026-06-06Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC 2-1
- 2026-05-30Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC 1-0
- 2026-05-28Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC 0-2
- 2026-05-17Ceara vs Fortaleza EC 2-1
- 2026-05-14CRB vs Fortaleza EC 0-0
- 2026-05-10Avai vs Fortaleza EC 0-0
- 2026-05-07Confiança vs Fortaleza EC 1-2
- 2026-04-26Operario-PR vs Fortaleza EC 0-0
- 2026-04-16America-RN vs Fortaleza EC 1-1
- 2026-04-12São Bernardo vs Fortaleza EC 0-1
Nautico Recife — Home
- 2026-09-26Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife 3-1
- 2026-09-15Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR 3-3
- 2026-09-03Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP 1-0
- 2026-08-28Nautico Recife vs Athletic Club 2-1
- 2026-08-19Nautico Recife vs Ceara 1-0
- 2026-08-09Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense 1-1
- 2026-07-23Nautico Recife vs Londrina 2-1
- 2026-07-05Nautico Recife vs Juventude 0-0
- 2026-06-28Nautico Recife vs Goias 0-1
- 2026-06-09Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC 0-1
- 2026-05-22Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba 1-0
- 2026-05-10Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro 4-0
- 2026-04-18Nautico Recife vs São Bernardo 0-3
- 2026-04-04Nautico Recife vs Ponte Preta 1-0
- 2026-03-22Nautico Recife vs Criciuma 0-1
- 2026-03-08Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife 0-3
- 2026-02-22Nautico Recife vs Santa Cruz 2-0
- 2026-01-28Nautico Recife vs Retrô 0-1
- 2026-01-18Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife 4-0
- 2026-01-09Nautico Recife vs Maguary PE 2-0
Nautico Recife — Away
- 2026-09-22Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife 3-0
- 2026-09-09America Mineiro vs Nautico Recife 2-1
- 2026-08-23São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife 1-1
- 2026-08-14Ponte Preta vs Nautico Recife 1-1
- 2026-07-26Criciuma vs Nautico Recife 0-0
- 2026-07-16CRB vs Nautico Recife 2-1
- 2026-07-12Avai vs Nautico Recife 2-0
- 2026-06-20Vila Nova vs Nautico Recife 4-3
- 2026-06-14Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife 2-2
- 2026-05-30Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife 2-0
- 2026-05-16Operario-PR vs Nautico Recife 2-6
- 2026-05-02Botafogo SP vs Nautico Recife 1-1
- 2026-04-27Athletic Club vs Nautico Recife 0-1
- 2026-04-11Ceara vs Nautico Recife 1-0
- 2026-04-01Atletico Goianiense vs Nautico Recife 1-2
- 2026-03-01Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife 3-3
- 2026-02-11Santa Cruz vs Nautico Recife 0-1
- 2026-01-31Acadêmica Vitória vs Nautico Recife 2-3
- 2026-01-25Santa Cruz vs Nautico Recife 0-4
- 2026-01-22Jaguaré vs Nautico Recife 0-4