Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles

Match Analysis

Philadelphia holds an overwhelming edge across nearly every quality measure. The Eagles' overall power rating of 86 beats Tennessee's 23 by 63 points—a chasm that extends through their offense (68 to 22), defense (62 to 24), and especially dominance (81 to 24, a 57-point gap). Their pedigree advantage is the largest of all at 78 points. The market's implied probability of 74 percent for Philadelphia aligns with what the ratings say: both point decisively toward the Eagles. Tennessee's one bright spot is consistency, where the Titans lead 45 to 34. I'd say that's the only dimension where they're genuinely stronger, though an 11-point advantage in consistency barely qualifies as a platform when everything else points the other way. Recent form tells a familiar story: the Titans have won 1 from their last 5 matches overall, and they're 1-4 at home over the same span. Philadelphia have taken 3 from 5 recently and sit 2-1 on the road in their last three outings. The head-to-head record complicates the picture only slightly. Tennessee hold a 3-2 advantage across all five meetings, yet Philadelphia won the most recent encounter decisively, 35-10 in Week 13 of 2022. I can't get past the fact that every single rating dimension except consistency favors the Eagles by substantial margins, and the market has priced that in. Tennessee's consistency rating and historical record against these opponents are genuine positives, but they're fighting ratings disparities that dwarf those minor advantages.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.