Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens

Match Analysis

Baltimore Ravens are a different animal here — the ratings paint them as genuinely elite while Dallas sits in the cellar. Looking at the numbers, Baltimore's overall power sits at 87 compared to Dallas at 46, and that 41-point gap spreads across nearly every dimension. The Ravens' offense is rated 97 to the Cowboys' 65, their defense 87 to 44. On dominance specifically, it's 93 to 47. I'd say the only place Dallas can claim ground is drama, where they lead 73 to 69, which barely qualifies as meaningful. What's interesting is that the market completely agrees with these ratings — both point to Baltimore. Bookmakers are offering 2.5 on the Cowboys and 1.56 on the Ravens, implying a 38 percent chance for Dallas and 62 percent for Baltimore. That alignment between the evaluations and the betting public leaves no real daylight for analysis; everything's saying the same thing. Head-to-head history reinforces this picture. Dallas has won just once in their last five matchups, dropping four. Baltimore has taken four of those five meetings, most recently beating Dallas 28-25 back in September. I will note that recent form adds a wrinkle. Both teams are 2-3 over their last five games, so there's no trend advantage either way. Dallas has actually been slightly better at home, going 2-2 there versus 1-3 on the road. Baltimore, strangely enough, has gone 0-4 at home over their most recent stretch while winning 3-1 away. That's bizarre enough to register, even if it doesn't change the overall picture that Ravens remain the far stronger outfit.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.