Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

Match Analysis

The Jacksonville Jaguars hold a significant ratings advantage over the Cleveland Browns across nearly every dimension. Jacksonville's overall power rating of 35 versus Cleveland's 24 reflects superiority in offense (39 to 22), defense (43 to 34), and dominance (35 to 25). The Jaguars' only notable weakness is consistency, rated 19 compared to Cleveland's 44—a stark reversal that hints at Jacksonville's volatility. Pedigree and drama ratings also favor Jacksonville, though both teams rank lower on historical prestige. The market's implied probability aligns with Jacksonville's ratings edge, pricing the Jaguars as favourites. However, Jacksonville's recent form complicates the picture: one loss in their last five games suggests inconsistency materializing, consistent with their poor consistency rating. Cleveland, conversely, has won two of their last five despite inferior power ratings, indicating their high consistency score may be translating into steadier performances. The head-to-head record favours Cleveland (6 wins to 4), and recent meetings show Cleveland winning three of the last five—a pattern that contradicts the current ratings gap and warrants caution against assuming Jacksonville's structural advantage will dominate.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.