Chicago Bears vs New York Jets

Match Analysis

Chicago's ratings across the board paint a picture of a team with far more going for it than New York does. The Bears lead by 30 points overall—46 to 16—and their offensive advantage is absolutely staggering at 83 to 5, a gap of 78 points. That's the kind of disparity that shapes entire games. The Jets do have a slight edge on defense, 55 to 43, and they're more consistent at 44 to 28, but those are narrow margins against what amounts to a demolition in every other category. What strikes me is how aligned the market is with these numbers. Bookmakers are offering 1.55 on Chicago and 2.50 on New York, translating to 62 percent implied probability for the Bears and 38 percent for the Jets. Both the ratings and the market are pointing the same direction here—there's no daylight between them. The only real counterargument comes from the recent record. Chicago's stumbled to 2 wins and 3 losses over their last five games, while the Jets have been even worse at 1 win and 4 losses. I notice neither team's shown much stability lately, but the Bears have actually held up better at home with a 2-3 record across five matches there compared to New York's 1-3 at home. Head-to-head, this isn't really a question mark—Chicago's taken three of the four meetings between them, with only one loss dating back to 2010. The Jets' single win came in 2022, but that's just one exception in an otherwise lopsided series. The bigger picture is that Chicago possesses genuinely elite offensive firepower and has consistently outmatched this Jets team when they've faced off.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.