San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Match Analysis

The ratings paint an absolutely one-sided picture here. San Francisco leads overall power 81 to 29, their defense is 48 points clear at 93 to 45, and they've got a 29-point edge on offense too. The 49ers are also way ahead on dominance at 84 to 38. Arizona's got almost nothing working in their favor in the quality ratings—just a small consistency advantage and a bit more drama, which isn't exactly what you want when you're this outgunned. I'd say the talent disparity is almost staggering. What makes this interesting, though, is that the market and the ratings actually agree for once. Bookmakers are offering 1.24 on San Francisco and 4.25 on Arizona, which translates to 77 percent for the hosts and 23 percent for the visitors—and that lines up perfectly with how much better the 49ers grade out. The head-to-head record adds some texture: Arizona's actually got the edge across all 20 meetings, leading 11 to 9, but in the last five matchups the 49ers have flipped the script, winning three of five. I notice San Francisco's recently been solid both at home and away, sitting at three wins from four in each split. Arizona, meanwhile, is in real trouble—they're one win from five across their last five overall, and they haven't won at home in their last three matches. The 49ers' consistency rating sits at just 20, but Arizona's only at 38, so neither team's been particularly steady. Still, the gap between these two teams is genuinely enormous.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.