Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions

Match Analysis

Collingwood Magpies enter this contest significantly outmatched on the ratings. Brisbane Lions hold commanding leads across nearly every dimension: a perfect 100 overall power rating compared to Collingwood's 81, with elite offensive (100 vs 58) and dominance scores (100 vs 82). Collingwood's one structural advantage lies in defense, where their 91 rating exceeds Brisbane's 83. The ratings paint Brisbane as the superior side, though Collingwood's defensive identity represents their primary competitive asset. The market reflects this gap, pricing Brisbane Lions substantially shorter. Head-to-head records reinforce Brisbane's dominance: they have won three of the last four meetings, including two convincing recent victories (119–65 in April 2026 and 100–71 in September 2025). Collingwood's sole win came in April 2025 at 105–53, now over a year old. Recent form complicates the picture slightly: Collingwood have won four of their last five matches, suggesting improved trajectory, while Brisbane have one loss in their last five despite a consistency rating of 100. Both the metrics and the head-to-head record strongly favour Brisbane, with only Collingwood's current form streak offering modest counterweight.

A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.