Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Gold Coast Suns
Aug 9, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC
FTGreater Western Sydney Giants 77 - 79 Gold Coast Suns
Team Strength Comparison
Greater Western Sydney GiantsvsGold Coast Suns· AFL Premiership
Match Analysis
Greater Western Sydney Giants hold a clear structural advantage across the ratings. They lead in overall power (70 vs 57), offense (63 vs 55), dominance (70 vs 58), and consistency (59 vs 54). Gold Coast Suns match them defensively (66 vs 70) but trail significantly elsewhere. The market aligns with these metrics, pricing Giants at 68 per cent implied probability to Suns' 32 per cent. Recent form reinforces the gap: Giants are 2-3 over their last five, while Suns have lost five consecutive. The head-to-head record shows Giants winning two of three, though notably Gold Coast's sole victory came most recently (May 2026, 83-63), suggesting some unpredictability in individual matchups. Still, Giants' superior dominance and defensive ratings, paired with Suns' poor form streak, align with the market's confident positioning. The inconsistency ratings for both sides (59 and 54) flag variability, but Giants' higher floor and Suns' extended losing run create a material performance divide entering this fixture.
A descriptive read of our own ratings against the market — not a prediction.
Metric by metric
Greater Western Sydney Giants · Gold Coast Suns — our 0-100 ratings, side by side
Season trends
up to 6 seasons, both teams
Archived Aug 8, 2026, 03:58 PM UTC
Odds Analysis & Market Prediction
With each bookmaker's margin removed, the market makes Greater Western Sydney Giants the favourite at 68%. 11 of 11 bookmakers agree.
Fair win probability
Average bookmaker margin 5%.
Pre-Match Odds Comparison · Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Gold Coast Suns
| Book | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.36 | 3.16 |
| Bet Right | 1.41 | 2.85 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.38 | 3.05 |
| Neds | 1.38 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 1.43 | 3.25 |
| TAB | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| PlayUp | 1.39 | 3.00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38 | 3.05 |
| TABtouch | 1.40 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| Betr | 1.39 | 3.00 |
Moneyline captured before the first bounce — historical reference only. 18+
Head-to-Head Record
| Regular Season · 2026 | 2026-05-03 | Gold Coast Suns 83-63 Greater Western Sydney Giants | L |
| Regular Season · 2025 | 2025-08-16 | Gold Coast Suns 76-111 Greater Western Sydney Giants | W |
| Regular Season · 2025 | 2025-06-22 | Greater Western Sydney Giants 106-99 Gold Coast Suns | W |
Greater Western Sydney Giants — Recent Form — Last Games
- 2026-08-01Port Adelaide Power vs Greater Western Sydney Giants 63-75
- 2026-07-25Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Sydney Swans 88-139
- 2026-07-19Essendon Bombers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants 67-64
- 2026-07-11Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Geelong Cats 86-73
- 2026-07-04Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Fremantle Dockers 109-88
- 2026-06-26Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants 96-82
- 2026-06-20Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Carlton Blues 65-88
- 2026-06-14St Kilda Saints vs Greater Western Sydney Giants 96-88
Gold Coast Suns — Recent Form — Last Games
- 2026-08-02Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons 105-114
- 2026-07-25Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns 110-97
- 2026-07-19Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs 68-77
- 2026-07-11Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns 128-49
- 2026-07-04Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood Magpies 98-104
- 2026-06-28Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns 80-29
- 2026-06-19Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks 97-113
- 2026-06-12Geelong Cats vs Gold Coast Suns 105-60